Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Wholesale Trade Earnings Growth
Across Kentucky Counties
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
Kentucky:
2010-2022 = 3.76%
2022 = 9.64%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real wholesale trade earnings growth across all of Kentucky's 120 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Kentucky Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real wholesale trade earnings growth of Kentucky's 120 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
Kentucky:
2010-2022 = 3.76%
2022 = 9.64%
This figure displays the 120 counties of Kentucky as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real wholesale trade earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real wholesale trade earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 3.76%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 3.76% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (3.76%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 28 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 19 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 23 counties whose most recent (2022) real wholesale trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (9.64%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 24 counties whose real wholesale trade earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 120 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 3.76% over 2010-2022 and 9.64% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (3.76%) and near-term (9.64%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.76%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Kentucky average (9.64%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (3.76%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (9.64%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (3.76%) and near-term (9.64%).
   
 
Summary of Kentucky's 120 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(9.64%)
Above
(9.64%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(3.76%)
12
16
28
Below
(3.76%)
12
7
19
 
24
23
47
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Kentucky:
2010-2022 = 3.76%
2022 = 9.64%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Kentucky counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Kentucky's average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 3.76%) as well as near-term (2022 = 9.64%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Kentucky's 120 counties, just 16 (13%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Kentucky:
2010-2022 = 3.76%
2022 = 9.64%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 12 Kentucky counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 3.76%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 9.64%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 12 (10%) of Kentucky's 120 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Kentucky:
2010-2022 = 3.76%
2022 = 9.64%
This figure shows the distribution of the 7 Kentucky counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 3.76%), while they outpaced Kentucky's average near-term (2022 = 9.64%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Kentucky's 120 counties, only 6% (7) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Kentucky:
2010-2022 = 3.76%
2022 = 9.64%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 12 Kentucky counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 3.76%) as well as near-term (2022 = 9.64%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
10% of Kentucky's counties, 12 of 120, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Kentucky
Real* Wholesale Trade Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
24
5.45
 
11
18.27
21,296
 
14
8.32
 
26
11.95
22,988
 
4
14.21
 
6
26.67
3,771
 
16
7.14
 
38
9.81
92,352
 
13
8.85
 
22
12.82
6,854
 
18
6.48
 
15
16.91
29,563
 
3
16.15
 
33
10.81
3,414
 
15
8.29
 
9
19.95
148,587
 
23
5.49
 
23
12.80
25,971
 
2
23.78
 
1
44.09
15,854
 
22
5.58
 
30
11.38
87,720
 
21
5.76
 
18
14.90
62,869
 
11
9.46
 
34
10.70
5,275
 
12
9.21
 
5
26.86
17,601
 
5
14.09
 
14
17.08
13,059
 
9
9.63
 
13
17.17
57,225
Slipping Counties
 
6
12.74
 
51
4.38
92,724
 
26
4.84
 
45
7.25
777,853
 
20
6.03
 
46
6.74
17,442
 
28
4.14
 
68
-5.49
116,032
 
17
6.55
 
58
2.25
6,648
 
27
4.46
 
65
-1.89
8,346
 
25
5.30
 
43
7.56
58,368
 
10
9.47
 
69
-11.96
11,090
 
8
10.34
 
52
3.83
15,817
 
1
42.99
 
66
-2.12
30,461
 
19
6.08
 
44
7.51
21,356
 
7
11.61
 
59
1.20
10,560
Gaining Counties
 
41
0.78
 
17
14.96
53,854
 
35
2.08
 
31
11.35
54,471
 
44
-0.85
 
36
10.29
36,987
 
43
0.43
 
32
11.09
25,637
 
36
1.84
 
27
11.95
37,662
 
39
0.97
 
29
11.44
12,026
 
37
1.62
 
35
10.48
57,073
Lagging Counties
 
45
-1.42
 
60
0.49
5,302
 
47
-3.76
 
56
2.32
4,890
 
38
1.47
 
64
-1.08
49,344
 
29
3.01
 
50
5.52
151,121
 
33
2.53
 
40
8.56
676,169
 
46
-2.47
 
57
2.28
7,669
 
32
2.60
 
48
6.43
75,062
 
30
2.67
 
53
3.23
5,489
 
34
2.27
 
62
0.00
16
 
40
0.89
 
70
-27.14
1,071
 
31
2.64
 
54
2.96
16,847
 
42
0.74
 
47
6.53
23,775
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
55
2.38
4,809
 
U
U
 
41
7.98
3,206
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
24
12.34
59,258
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
19
14.53
3,650
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
7
25.73
20,026
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
8
24.70
1,792
 
U
U
 
3
36.94
15,707
 
U
U
 
S
S
3,903
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
2,762
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
42
7.93
1,933
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
2
38.24
5,708
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
39
9.00
7,979
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
12
17.69
68,027
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
37
10.27
2,604,226
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
28
11.87
262,449
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
25
11.97
61,548
 
U
U
 
S
S
15,676
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
67
-2.64
5,082
 
U
U
 
61
0.47
10,223
 
U
U
 
4
28.13
3,444
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
71
-87.92
821
 
U
U
 
16
15.57
25,744
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
21
13.53
4,228
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
49
6.08
47,460
 
U
U
 
10
19.81
3,720
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
79,955
 
U
U
 
20
14.50
25,215
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
63
-0.74
13,789
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.76
 
9.64
7,377,564
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.94
 
9.59
710,955,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_610600_LSGL
 
   
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