| Bell County vs. Kentucky Comparative Trends Analysis: Total Industry Earnings Growth and Change, 1969-2022 Introduction Bell County: 2022 Earnings = $455,971K 2022 Percent of State = 0.29% Kentucky: 2022 Earnings = $157,881,490K 2022 Percent of U.S. = 1.04% Industry earnings are incomes received by people who are directly involved with producing goods and services. Earnings, referred to also as "labor and proprietors income", include (1) wage and salary disbursements, (2) other labor income such as employer contributions to private retirement and medical insurance programs, and (3) the net incomes of proprietors (i.e., the owners of unincorporated enterprises). In contrast to the more frequently cited employment data, earnings data more accurately reflect qualitative differences in labor's contributions toward the production of goods and services, namely the productivity differences reflected in variations in earnings per job. Earnings data, therefore, are better for comparing and tracking long-term trends and identifying short-run shifts in the level and composition of economic activity within and among counties. Just like the employment data compiled by BEA, earnings data are reported on a place-of-work, or more accurately on a place-where-earned, basis. Note: the BEA earnings data presented and discussed here in the context of comparing and assessing the economic growth and performance of county and regional economies are entirely separate and apart from--and should not be confused with--corporate earnings, which are compiled from the balance sheets of individual private corporations. Figure 1. Figure 1 depicts Bell County's annual total industry earnings over 1970-2022 in current and constant (2017) dollars. Constant dollar measurements remove the effects of inflation. They allow for comparison of changes in the real purchasing power of Bell County over time. When measured in current dollars, Bell County's total industry earnings increased 773.49%, from $52M in 1970 to $456M in 2022. When measured in constant 2017 dollars to adjust for inflation, it advanced 48.78%, from $264M in 1970 to $393M in 2022. Figure 2. Figure 2 traces Bell County's and Kentucky's annual real total industry earnings for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate real total industry earnings patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Bell County's real total industry earnings rose from $257M in 1969 to $393M in 2022, for a net gain of $136M, or 53.18%. In comparison, Kentucky's real total industry earnings increased from $41,952M in 1969 to $136,054M in 2022, for a net advance of $94,102M, or 224.31%. Figure 3. Figure 3 portrays Bell County's real total industry earnings growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Kentucky, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's real total industry earnings in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the real total industry earningss in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in real total industry earnings growth between regions that may differ vastly in size. Bell County's overall real total industry earnings growth was 53.18% over 1969-2022 trailed Kentucky's increase of 224.31%, and fell below the United States' increase of 278.59%. Figure 4. Another interesting and insightful way of comparing the total industry earnings growth of Bell County is to trace its individual percentage contributions to Kentucky's statewide total industry earnings over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's total industry earnings grew faster, or declined less, than Kentucky's total industry earnings, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly. In 1969, Bell County's total industry earnings totaled 0.61% of Kentucky's total industry earnings, while in 2022 it equated to 0.29% thereby yielding a -0.32% share-shift. | | | | Total Industry Earnings Share-Shift 2022 vs. 1969 | Share- Shift* | | 2022 | vs. | 1969 | | -0.32% | = | 0.29% | - | 0.61% |
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Figure 5. Figure 5 highlights the short-run pattern of Bell County's real total industry earnings growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average. On average, Bell County's real total industry earnings grew at an annual rate of 0.90% over 1970-2022. The county recorded its highest growth in 1977 (12.74%) and recorded its lowest growth in 1986 (-8.20%). In 2022, Bell County's real total industry earnings declined by -3.31% Figure 6. Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again illustrates the annual percent change in Bell County's real total industry earnings since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022. During the 1970s, Bell County's annual real total industry earnings growth rate averaged 6.37%. It averaged -1.36% during the 1980s, 0.90% in the 1990s, 0.32% in the 2000s, -1.31% in the 2010s, -0.39% thus far this decade (2020-2022). Figure 7. Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Bell County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Kentucky and the nation. As the chart reveals, Bell County's average annual real total industry earnings growth outperformed Kentucky's average throughout the 1970s (6.37% vs. 4.06%), recorded under Kentucky's average in the 1980s (-1.36% vs. 1.28%), recorded under Kentucky's average throughout the 1990s (0.90% vs. 3.27%), amounted to less than Kentucky's average throughout the 2000s (0.32% vs. 1.21%), posted below Kentucky's average during the 2010s (-1.31% vs. 1.77%), and amounted to less than Kentucky's average over the 3 year period of the current decade, 2020-2022 (-0.39% vs. 1.71%). Finally, relative to nationwide real total industry earnings growth trends, Bell County surpassed the nation over the 1970s (6.37% vs. 3.13%), recorded underneath the nation throughout the 1980s (-1.36% vs. 2.62%), lagged the nation in the 1990s (0.90% vs. 3.43%), lagged the nation in the 2000s (0.32% vs. 1.47%), posted below the nation in the 2010s (-1.31% vs. 2.53%), and fell under the nation over 2020-2022 (-0.39% vs. 1.48%). | | | | Real* Total Industry Earnings Growth: Average Annual Percent Change | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0.90 | 6.37 | -1.36 | 0.90 | 0.32 | -1.31 | -0.39 | -3.31 | | | 2.28 | 4.06 | 1.28 | 3.27 | 1.21 | 1.77 | 1.71 | 0.38 | | | 2.57 | 3.13 | 2.62 | 3.43 | 1.47 | 2.53 | 1.48 | 0.05 |
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Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data. | | | | Bell County: Total Industry Earnings, 1969-2022 | | | | | | | | | 1969 | | 48,437 | 0.189 | 256,511 | 100.0 | N | 0.61 | 1970 | | 52,201 | 0.198 | 264,095 | 103.0 | 2.96 | 0.62 | 1971 | | 58,832 | 0.206 | 285,523 | 111.3 | 8.11 | 0.64 | 1972 | | 61,422 | 0.213 | 288,258 | 112.4 | 0.96 | 0.60 | 1973 | | 66,729 | 0.225 | 297,168 | 115.8 | 3.09 | 0.58 | 1974 | | 82,532 | 0.248 | 332,884 | 129.8 | 12.02 | 0.64 | 1975 | | 95,828 | 0.269 | 356,768 | 139.1 | 7.17 | 0.71 | 1976 | | 108,530 | 0.283 | 383,052 | 149.3 | 7.37 | 0.71 | 1977 | | 130,319 | 0.302 | 431,863 | 168.4 | 12.74 | 0.75 | 1978 | | 151,417 | 0.323 | 469,132 | 182.9 | 8.63 | 0.77 | 1979 | | 165,894 | 0.351 | 472,054 | 184.0 | 0.62 | 0.76 | 1980 | | 182,109 | 0.389 | 467,810 | 182.4 | -0.90 | 0.80 | 1981 | | 203,645 | 0.424 | 480,125 | 187.2 | 2.63 | 0.82 | 1982 | | 204,661 | 0.448 | 457,128 | 178.2 | -4.79 | 0.80 | 1983 | | 197,820 | 0.467 | 423,815 | 165.2 | -7.29 | 0.75 | 1984 | | 221,060 | 0.484 | 456,368 | 177.9 | 7.68 | 0.74 | 1985 | | 225,832 | 0.501 | 450,511 | 175.6 | -1.28 | 0.73 | 1986 | | 211,815 | 0.512 | 413,548 | 161.2 | -8.20 | 0.66 | 1987 | | 230,178 | 0.528 | 435,927 | 169.9 | 5.41 | 0.67 | 1988 | | 241,868 | 0.549 | 440,842 | 171.9 | 1.13 | 0.64 | 1989 | | 232,216 | 0.573 | 405,540 | 158.1 | -8.01 | 0.58 | 1990 | | 243,251 | 0.598 | 406,944 | 158.6 | 0.35 | 0.57 | 1991 | | 244,064 | 0.618 | 395,092 | 154.0 | -2.91 | 0.55 | 1992 | | 255,080 | 0.634 | 402,208 | 156.8 | 1.80 | 0.53 | 1993 | | 269,097 | 0.650 | 413,995 | 161.4 | 2.93 | 0.53 | 1994 | | 273,774 | 0.664 | 412,584 | 160.8 | -0.34 | 0.52 | 1995 | | 286,234 | 0.678 | 422,461 | 164.7 | 2.39 | 0.52 | 1996 | | 287,062 | 0.692 | 414,811 | 161.7 | -1.81 | 0.49 | 1997 | | 304,325 | 0.704 | 432,237 | 168.5 | 4.20 | 0.49 | 1998 | | 305,162 | 0.710 | 430,005 | 167.6 | -0.52 | 0.47 | 1999 | | 318,564 | 0.720 | 442,444 | 172.5 | 2.89 | 0.46 | 2000 | | 327,519 | 0.738 | 443,660 | 173.0 | 0.27 | 0.44 | 2001 | | 342,784 | 0.753 | 455,212 | 177.5 | 2.60 | 0.45 | 2002 | | 345,340 | 0.763 | 452,662 | 176.5 | -0.56 | 0.44 | 2003 | | 359,744 | 0.779 | 461,838 | 180.0 | 2.03 | 0.44 | 2004 | | 367,645 | 0.798 | 460,552 | 179.5 | -0.28 | 0.42 | 2005 | | 378,847 | 0.821 | 461,294 | 179.8 | 0.16 | 0.42 | 2006 | | 400,586 | 0.844 | 474,403 | 184.9 | 2.84 | 0.42 | 2007 | | 403,929 | 0.866 | 466,393 | 181.8 | -1.69 | 0.41 | 2008 | | 407,705 | 0.892 | 457,222 | 178.2 | -1.97 | 0.41 | 2009 | | 405,538 | 0.889 | 456,065 | 177.8 | -0.25 | 0.42 | 2010 | | 426,127 | 0.905 | 470,786 | 183.5 | 3.23 | 0.42 | 2011 | | 424,244 | 0.928 | 457,140 | 178.2 | -2.90 | 0.40 | 2012 | | 420,353 | 0.945 | 444,658 | 173.3 | -2.73 | 0.39 | 2013 | | 402,303 | 0.958 | 420,024 | 163.7 | -5.54 | 0.36 | 2014 | | 403,886 | 0.971 | 415,859 | 162.1 | -0.99 | 0.35 | 2015 | | 391,632 | 0.973 | 402,504 | 156.9 | -3.21 | 0.33 | 2016 | | 377,210 | 0.983 | 383,796 | 149.6 | -4.65 | 0.31 | 2017 | | 394,466 | 1.000 | 394,466 | 153.8 | 2.78 | 0.32 | 2018 | | 414,023 | 1.020 | 405,718 | 158.2 | 2.85 | 0.32 | 2019 | | 411,881 | 1.035 | 397,903 | 155.1 | -1.93 | 0.31 | 2020 | | 416,590 | 1.046 | 398,136 | 155.2 | 0.06 | 0.31 | 2021 | | 442,985 | 1.090 | 406,405 | 158.4 | 2.08 | 0.30 | 2022 | | 455,971 | 1.160 | 392,933 | 153.2 | -3.31 | 0.29 |
Source: Calculations by the Kentucky Regional Economic Analysis Project (KY-REAP) with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis November 2023 REAP_PI_CA1400_1200_PSN | | | | |
Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data. | | | | Kentucky: Total Industry Earnings, 1969-2022 | | | | | | | | | 1969 | | 7,921,774 | 0.189 | 41,951,883 | 100.0 | N | 1.21 | 1970 | | 8,450,879 | 0.198 | 42,754,624 | 101.9 | 1.91 | 1.22 | 1971 | | 9,180,222 | 0.206 | 44,553,371 | 106.2 | 4.21 | 1.24 | 1972 | | 10,214,500 | 0.213 | 47,937,394 | 114.3 | 7.60 | 1.25 | 1973 | | 11,544,541 | 0.225 | 51,411,895 | 122.5 | 7.25 | 1.26 | 1974 | | 12,867,920 | 0.248 | 51,901,424 | 123.7 | 0.95 | 1.29 | 1975 | | 13,589,288 | 0.269 | 50,593,031 | 120.6 | -2.52 | 1.28 | 1976 | | 15,371,828 | 0.283 | 54,254,149 | 129.3 | 7.24 | 1.31 | 1977 | | 17,430,475 | 0.302 | 57,762,709 | 137.7 | 6.47 | 1.34 | 1978 | | 19,546,990 | 0.323 | 60,561,997 | 144.4 | 4.85 | 1.32 | 1979 | | 21,839,279 | 0.351 | 62,144,037 | 148.1 | 2.61 | 1.32 | 1980 | | 22,749,629 | 0.389 | 58,440,272 | 139.3 | -5.96 | 1.27 | 1981 | | 24,858,226 | 0.424 | 58,607,158 | 139.7 | 0.29 | 1.27 | 1982 | | 25,688,514 | 0.448 | 57,377,575 | 136.8 | -2.10 | 1.25 | 1983 | | 26,293,695 | 0.467 | 56,332,366 | 134.3 | -1.82 | 1.20 | 1984 | | 29,863,190 | 0.484 | 61,651,128 | 147.0 | 9.44 | 1.23 | 1985 | | 31,124,849 | 0.501 | 62,090,746 | 148.0 | 0.71 | 1.19 | 1986 | | 31,876,688 | 0.512 | 62,236,061 | 148.4 | 0.23 | 1.14 | 1987 | | 34,206,540 | 0.528 | 64,782,660 | 154.4 | 4.09 | 1.14 | 1988 | | 37,605,240 | 0.549 | 68,541,402 | 163.4 | 5.80 | 1.15 | 1989 | | 40,081,811 | 0.573 | 69,998,447 | 166.9 | 2.13 | 1.16 | 1990 | | 42,389,611 | 0.598 | 70,915,284 | 169.0 | 1.31 | 1.15 | 1991 | | 44,288,348 | 0.618 | 71,694,156 | 170.9 | 1.10 | 1.17 | 1992 | | 48,270,644 | 0.634 | 76,112,652 | 181.4 | 6.16 | 1.19 | 1993 | | 50,386,137 | 0.650 | 77,517,134 | 184.8 | 1.85 | 1.19 | 1994 | | 53,110,657 | 0.664 | 80,038,967 | 190.8 | 3.25 | 1.19 | 1995 | | 54,927,398 | 0.678 | 81,068,864 | 193.2 | 1.29 | 1.17 | 1996 | | 58,007,891 | 0.692 | 83,822,798 | 199.8 | 3.40 | 1.17 | 1997 | | 61,686,584 | 0.704 | 87,614,277 | 208.8 | 4.52 | 1.17 | 1998 | | 65,425,209 | 0.710 | 92,191,031 | 219.8 | 5.22 | 1.15 | 1999 | | 69,459,277 | 0.720 | 96,469,878 | 230.0 | 4.64 | 1.14 | 2000 | | 74,352,005 | 0.738 | 100,717,950 | 240.1 | 4.40 | 1.13 | 2001 | | 76,453,440 | 0.753 | 101,529,096 | 242.0 | 0.81 | 1.11 | 2002 | | 78,523,102 | 0.763 | 102,925,774 | 245.3 | 1.38 | 1.12 | 2003 | | 81,581,615 | 0.779 | 104,734,145 | 249.7 | 1.76 | 1.13 | 2004 | | 86,805,994 | 0.798 | 108,742,648 | 259.2 | 3.83 | 1.13 | 2005 | | 91,211,944 | 0.821 | 111,062,067 | 264.7 | 2.13 | 1.13 | 2006 | | 94,922,796 | 0.844 | 112,414,491 | 268.0 | 1.22 | 1.11 | 2007 | | 97,722,892 | 0.866 | 112,834,866 | 269.0 | 0.37 | 1.10 | 2008 | | 99,794,612 | 0.892 | 111,915,007 | 266.8 | -0.82 | 1.11 | 2009 | | 96,512,103 | 0.889 | 108,536,907 | 258.7 | -3.02 | 1.11 | 2010 | | 100,659,621 | 0.905 | 111,208,897 | 265.1 | 2.46 | 1.12 | 2011 | | 104,936,592 | 0.928 | 113,073,350 | 269.5 | 1.68 | 1.11 | 2012 | | 108,328,484 | 0.945 | 114,592,088 | 273.2 | 1.34 | 1.10 | 2013 | | 111,269,107 | 0.958 | 116,170,333 | 276.9 | 1.38 | 1.09 | 2014 | | 113,919,189 | 0.971 | 117,296,145 | 279.6 | 0.97 | 1.07 | 2015 | | 118,463,724 | 0.973 | 121,752,252 | 290.2 | 3.80 | 1.07 | 2016 | | 120,008,736 | 0.983 | 122,104,041 | 291.1 | 0.29 | 1.06 | 2017 | | 123,663,315 | 1.000 | 123,663,315 | 294.8 | 1.28 | 1.04 | 2018 | | 127,920,844 | 1.020 | 125,354,831 | 298.8 | 1.37 | 1.03 | 2019 | | 133,891,806 | 1.035 | 129,347,817 | 308.3 | 3.19 | 1.03 | 2020 | | 136,111,717 | 1.046 | 130,082,398 | 310.1 | 0.57 | 1.03 | 2021 | | 147,740,519 | 1.090 | 135,540,517 | 323.1 | 4.20 | 1.03 | 2022 | | 157,881,490 | 1.160 | 136,054,299 | 324.3 | 0.38 | 1.04 |
Source: Calculations by the Kentucky Regional Economic Analysis Project (KY-REAP) with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis November 2023 REAP_PI_CA1400_1200_PSN | | | | |
Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data. | | | | United States: Total Industry Earnings, 1969-2022 | | | | | | | | 1969 | | 653,665,000 | 0.189 | 3,461,658,635 | 100.0 | N | 1970 | | 693,352,000 | 0.198 | 3,507,801,275 | 101.3 | 1.33 | 1971 | | 742,094,000 | 0.206 | 3,601,523,902 | 104.0 | 2.67 | 1972 | | 819,646,000 | 0.213 | 3,846,658,532 | 111.1 | 6.81 | 1973 | | 918,964,000 | 0.225 | 4,092,469,383 | 118.2 | 6.39 | 1974 | | 993,909,000 | 0.248 | 4,008,829,105 | 115.8 | -2.04 | 1975 | | 1,059,492,000 | 0.269 | 3,944,497,394 | 113.9 | -1.60 | 1976 | | 1,173,271,000 | 0.283 | 4,141,005,188 | 119.6 | 4.98 | 1977 | | 1,303,767,000 | 0.302 | 4,320,542,816 | 124.8 | 4.34 | 1978 | | 1,476,080,000 | 0.323 | 4,573,305,242 | 132.1 | 5.85 | 1979 | | 1,648,363,000 | 0.351 | 4,690,444,754 | 135.5 | 2.56 | 1980 | | 1,784,597,000 | 0.389 | 4,584,353,165 | 132.4 | -2.26 | 1981 | | 1,961,173,000 | 0.424 | 4,623,772,250 | 133.6 | 0.86 | 1982 | | 2,053,729,000 | 0.448 | 4,587,185,902 | 132.5 | -0.79 | 1983 | | 2,188,018,000 | 0.467 | 4,687,672,466 | 135.4 | 2.19 | 1984 | | 2,432,402,000 | 0.484 | 5,021,577,654 | 145.1 | 7.12 | 1985 | | 2,615,791,000 | 0.501 | 5,218,223,348 | 150.7 | 3.92 | 1986 | | 2,786,901,000 | 0.512 | 5,441,146,840 | 157.2 | 4.27 | 1987 | | 2,996,000,000 | 0.528 | 5,674,027,499 | 163.9 | 4.28 | 1988 | | 3,259,979,000 | 0.549 | 5,941,819,010 | 171.6 | 4.72 | 1989 | | 3,467,027,000 | 0.573 | 6,054,778,994 | 174.9 | 1.90 | 1990 | | 3,679,460,000 | 0.598 | 6,155,516,520 | 177.8 | 1.66 | 1991 | | 3,789,428,000 | 0.618 | 6,134,341,309 | 177.2 | -0.34 | 1992 | | 4,059,023,000 | 0.634 | 6,400,225,481 | 184.9 | 4.33 | 1993 | | 4,237,437,000 | 0.650 | 6,519,133,846 | 188.3 | 1.86 | 1994 | | 4,456,948,000 | 0.664 | 6,716,721,924 | 194.0 | 3.03 | 1995 | | 4,674,849,000 | 0.678 | 6,899,738,761 | 199.3 | 2.72 | 1996 | | 4,956,180,000 | 0.692 | 7,161,799,344 | 206.9 | 3.80 | 1997 | | 5,288,047,000 | 0.704 | 7,510,683,597 | 217.0 | 4.87 | 1998 | | 5,707,014,000 | 0.710 | 8,041,785,619 | 232.3 | 7.07 | 1999 | | 6,098,042,000 | 0.720 | 8,469,385,147 | 244.7 | 5.32 | 2000 | | 6,598,743,000 | 0.738 | 8,938,721,519 | 258.2 | 5.54 | 2001 | | 6,865,291,000 | 0.753 | 9,117,010,172 | 263.4 | 1.99 | 2002 | | 7,001,002,000 | 0.763 | 9,176,707,606 | 265.1 | 0.65 | 2003 | | 7,243,377,000 | 0.779 | 9,299,017,896 | 268.6 | 1.33 | 2004 | | 7,674,785,000 | 0.798 | 9,614,272,113 | 277.7 | 3.39 | 2005 | | 8,039,238,000 | 0.821 | 9,788,788,097 | 282.8 | 1.82 | 2006 | | 8,519,349,000 | 0.844 | 10,089,233,775 | 291.5 | 3.07 | 2007 | | 8,866,261,000 | 0.866 | 10,237,349,175 | 295.7 | 1.47 | 2008 | | 9,014,085,000 | 0.892 | 10,108,876,304 | 292.0 | -1.25 | 2009 | | 8,688,913,000 | 0.889 | 9,771,497,172 | 282.3 | -3.34 | 2010 | | 9,023,916,000 | 0.905 | 9,969,635,637 | 288.0 | 2.03 | 2011 | | 9,444,387,000 | 0.928 | 10,176,702,513 | 294.0 | 2.08 | 2012 | | 9,854,834,000 | 0.945 | 10,424,645,101 | 301.1 | 2.44 | 2013 | | 10,180,570,000 | 0.958 | 10,629,007,841 | 307.0 | 1.96 | 2014 | | 10,613,874,000 | 0.971 | 10,928,505,678 | 315.7 | 2.82 | 2015 | | 11,039,821,000 | 0.973 | 11,346,284,134 | 327.8 | 3.82 | 2016 | | 11,311,477,000 | 0.983 | 11,508,970,941 | 332.5 | 1.43 | 2017 | | 11,848,205,000 | 1.000 | 11,848,205,000 | 342.3 | 2.95 | 2018 | | 12,438,590,000 | 1.020 | 12,189,079,542 | 352.1 | 2.88 | 2019 | | 12,989,097,000 | 1.035 | 12,548,276,062 | 362.5 | 2.95 | 2020 | | 13,158,025,000 | 1.046 | 12,575,166,053 | 363.3 | 0.21 | 2021 | | 14,278,043,000 | 1.090 | 13,099,001,844 | 378.4 | 4.17 | 2022 | | 15,207,952,000 | 1.160 | 13,105,445,395 | 378.6 | 0.05 |
Source: Calculations by the Kentucky Regional Economic Analysis Project (KY-REAP) with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis November 2023 REAP_PI_CA1400_1200_PN | | | | |
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