Kentucky Real Gross Domestic Product Growth by Decade

Briefing Report Outline:

1.	Map - Kentucky Real* Gross Domestic Product Growth by County, 2002-2021
2.	Table - Kentucky Real* Gross Domestic Product Growth by County, 2002-2021
3.	Map - Kentucky Real* Gross Domestic Product Growth by Region, 2002-2021
4.	Table - Kentucky Real* Gross Domestic Product Growth by Region, 2002-2021

Page 1 of 6

Real* Gross Domestic Product Growth by County

Average Annual Percent Change, 2002-2021

Kentucky:

2002-2021 = 1.35%

U.S.:

2002-2021 = 1.99%

Real* Gross Domestic Product Growth of Kentucky's 120 Counties:

Average Growth Distributions by Decade over 2002-2021

	2002-2021	2010-2019	2020-2021	2021
More than 4%	6	8	0	59
4% to 3%	3	10	0	10
3% to 2%	13	19	0	11
2% to 1%	33	25	0	8
1% to 0%	33	20	0	10
0% to -1%	15	15	0	9
-1% to -2%	9	9	0	4
-2% or Below	8	14	120	9
Total	120	120	120	120

*Real gross domestic product estimates are measured in chained (2012) dollars.

Page 2 of 6

Kentucky Real* Gross Domestic Product Growth by County:
Average Annual Percent Change, 2002-2021

	2002-2021		2010-2019		2020-2021		2021
County	%	Rank	%	Rank	%	Rank	%	Rank

Trimble	6.68	1	2.06	36	-0.12	70	-2.56	112
Carroll	5.35	2	7.78	1	-1.63	96	7.17	19
Bullitt	4.63	3	4.74	7	2.83	24	5.34	39
Marion	4.39	4	5.54	5	2.66	26	7.71	16
Carlisle	4.18	5	2.39	27	-0.50	78	4.22	56
Spencer	3.36	6	4.07	8	4.59	8	3.77	62
Boone	3.24	7	4.89	6	2.73	25	8.20	11
Scott	3.01	8	6.32	2	3.01	23	9.74	7
Bourbon	2.95	9	6.24	3	-5.73	115	-2.68	113
Hickman	2.88	10	-1.64	105	-0.68	80	15.07	3
Gallatin	2.88	11	5.55	4	0.69	55	3.78	61
Russell	2.83	12	3.73	11	-0.79	84	0.65	92
Hart	2.78	13	3.50	13	-1.28	90	2.15	80
Oldham	2.71	14	3.18	18	0.64	57	5.23	41
Simpson	2.67	15	1.48	51	6.61	2	5.44	36
Kenton	2.58	16	1.87	42	4.80	6	6.31	27
Warren	2.53	17	2.41	26	2.61	27	6.02	31
Washington	2.52	18	2.94	19	3.17	21	10.84	4
Breckinridge	2.22	19	1.31	56	3.14	22	7.13	21
Ohio	2.19	20	0.67	73	-1.53	95	10.11	6
Nelson	2.18	21	2.53	24	3.68	16	7.88	14
Logan	2.08	22	3.78	9	0.43	60	4.41	53
Montgomery	2.06	23	2.68	21	2.52	30	7.17	20
Christian	2.03	24	-0.53	88	2.61	28	4.54	50
Monroe	2.02	25	3.38	15	-0.77	83	0.79	90
Madison	1.99	26	2.17	33	1.02	52	6.18	29
Jessamine	1.97	27	3.51	12	1.19	48	2.35	78
Mason	1.97	28	1.57	49	2.45	33	2.82	71
Meade	1.96	29	1.38	53	4.75	7	5.81	32
Taylor	1.80	30	2.29	30	-0.73	82	0.45	95
Fayette	1.79	31	1.67	47	0.66	56	4.16	58
Campbell	1.73	32	2.45	25	4.39	9	7.77	15
Shelby	1.72	33	2.62	22	1.51	44	5.44	37
Hardin	1.58	34	0.65	74	1.58	42	4.62	49
Hancock	1.54	35	1.80	43	-5.14	112	-1.10	108
Anderson	1.51	36	2.24	32	-0.70	81	1.35	87
Casey	1.49	37	2.28	31	3.78	14	5.08	44
Elliott	1.49	38	0.63	75	-2.57	103	-0.17	100
Grayson	1.44	39	1.91	41	0.87	53	1.69	85
Edmonson	1.44	40	2.57	23	-1.45	93	1.00	89
Allen	1.42	41	3.29	17	-0.33	76	5.49	35
Jefferson	1.42	42	1.91	40	2.27	36	6.36	26
Bracken	1.38	43	2.15	35	3.50	17	6.58	25
Union	1.37	44	1.69	45	-5.54	114	-15.28	120
Lewis	1.37	45	1.62	48	0.56	58	2.74	72
Cumberland	1.33	46	3.49	14	1.99	38	3.00	69
Lincoln	1.33	47	1.11	60	1.66	41	4.47	51
Daviess	1.30	48	1.02	62	1.09	50	3.46	67
Adair	1.28	49	1.17	58	2.46	32	7.03	22
Todd	1.23	50	-0.76	92	4.18	11	7.21	18
Rockcastle	1.22	51	2.33	29	-1.41	92	1.90	81
Owen	1.22	52	-0.63	89	-2.29	102	0.12	98
Bath	1.21	53	3.33	16	-1.46	94	1.89	82
Larue	1.20	54	0.94	64	4.23	10	7.89	13
Pulaski	1.18	55	1.74	44	0.37	62	6.11	30
Laurel	1.18	56	1.32	55	1.78	40	4.76	47
Grant	1.16	57	0.97	63	3.39	18	9.73	8
Crittenden	1.16	58	1.67	46	2.48	31	6.81	23
Marshall	1.16	59	2.03	37	-1.78	97	-3.10	115
Metcalfe	1.13	60	1.32	54	3.79	13	9.03	10
Caldwell	1.12	61	1.44	52	5.96	3	9.42	9
Clark	1.07	62	1.97	38	-0.37	77	2.45	75
Woodford	1.05	63	3.73	10	-3.70	111	-0.73	105
Whitley	1.05	64	-0.41	86	1.39	45	4.98	45
Mercer	1.04	65	1.51	50	0.17	66	4.71	48
Menifee	1.03	66	0.68	72	0.42	61	-0.26	102
Wayne	0.97	67	0.89	66	0.24	64	0.39	96
Rowan	0.96	68	0.60	76	0.46	59	4.43	52
McLean	0.96	69	-0.38	85	-2.71	105	17.49	2
Boyd	0.92	70	1.18	57	-8.24	117	1.77	83
McCracken	0.89	71	0.86	67	1.99	37	5.35	38
Garrard	0.89	72	2.34	28	-0.18	72	3.28	68
Trigg	0.87	73	0.71	70	-0.28	75	5.74	33
Henry	0.87	74	0.85	68	1.08	51	5.12	43
Calloway	0.80	75	0.30	80	-0.21	73	1.57	86
Hopkins	0.77	76	-1.13	99	-0.65	79	1.70	84
Fleming	0.72	77	1.95	39	1.57	43	0.35	97
Wolfe	0.68	78	0.90	65	5.91	4	7.32	17
Franklin	0.66	79	1.13	59	2.40	35	3.97	60
Graves	0.55	80	-0.69	91	1.86	39	6.26	28
Green	0.53	81	-0.91	97	6.82	1	5.58	34
Butler	0.49	82	2.85	20	0.34	63	3.56	64
Barren	0.47	83	2.15	34	-1.05	87	2.69	73
Clinton	0.44	84	-1.87	106	3.32	19	5.27	40
Carter	0.39	85	-0.15	83	0.04	68	0.53	94
Morgan	0.37	86	1.10	61	-1.04	86	2.50	74
Knox	0.36	87	-0.53	87	-0.25	74	2.38	77
Henderson	0.36	88	0.70	71	1.14	49	4.77	46
Harrison	0.34	89	0.36	79	0.06	67	3.47	66
Lyon	0.22	90	0.73	69	-0.06	69	-1.23	110
Nicholas	0.17	91	-1.22	102	0.84	54	5.21	42
Powell	0.15	92	0.06	82	2.43	34	2.32	79
Floyd	0.15	93	-0.78	93	-2.13	101	2.91	70
Robertson	0.14	94	-0.79	95	3.74	15	4.08	59
McCreary	0.11	95	0.12	81	3.83	12	3.72	63
Livingston	-0.03	96	-0.78	94	2.58	29	-1.00	107
Estill	-0.07	97	-0.30	84	-1.15	89	0.69	91
Boyle	-0.19	98	0.47	77	0.19	65	4.19	57
Fulton	-0.25	99	-3.10	110	3.26	20	10.11	5
Clay	-0.27	100	-1.06	98	1.31	47	4.39	54
Lee	-0.34	101	-1.47	104	-3.62	110	-6.01	116
Owsley	-0.48	102	-1.14	100	1.32	46	6.65	24
Bell	-0.53	103	-0.65	90	-0.18	71	4.28	55
Johnson	-0.83	104	-2.20	107	-1.94	100	-0.41	104
Lawrence	-0.86	105	-3.14	111	-1.33	91	-0.81	106
Muhlenberg	-0.87	106	-0.82	96	-9.15	118	-6.66	118
Pendleton	-0.97	107	0.45	78	-1.09	88	-1.33	111
Jackson	-1.10	108	-1.18	101	-2.77	106	-0.02	99
Webster	-1.10	109	-1.45	103	-3.34	109	18.35	1
Magoffin	-1.23	110	-5.34	114	-1.89	99	0.53	93
Ballard	-1.52	111	-5.56	116	5.13	5	8.13	12
Pike	-2.30	112	-3.03	109	-2.86	108	-0.17	101
Breathitt	-2.40	113	-2.96	108	-5.16	113	-1.22	109
Perry	-2.42	114	-5.23	113	-1.86	98	1.28	88
Greenup	-3.37	115	-3.95	112	-6.92	116	-0.26	103
Harlan	-3.77	116	-6.69	117	-2.84	107	2.43	76
Letcher	-4.82	117	-6.76	118	-1.03	85	3.49	65
Martin	-5.23	118	-7.66	119	-9.26	119	-2.79	114
Leslie	-5.56	119	-5.46	115	-9.71	120	-9.42	119
Knott	-6.52	120	-8.50	120	-2.59	104	-6.52	117

Kentucky	1.35		1.48		1.32		5.00
Metropolitan	1.71		1.99		1.75		5.60
Nonmetropolitan	0.55		0.33		0.23		3.49

United States	1.99		2.25		1.59		5.95
Metropolitan U.S.	1.97		2.24		1.71		6.24
Nonmetropolitan U.S.	1.34		1.49		0.09		2.89

*Real gross domestic product growth estimates are measured in chained (2012) dollars.

Source: Calculations by the Kentucky Regional Economic Analysis Project (KY-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

November 2023

REAP_PI_CA1400_DECADES_2002A

Page 3 of 6

Real* Gross Domestic Product Growth by
Kentucky

Average Annual Percent Change, 2002-2021

Kentucky:

2002-2021 = 1.35%

U.S.:

2002-2021 = 1.99%

Real* Gross Domestic Product Growth
by Kentucky

Average Growth Distributions by Decade over 2002-2021

	2002-2021	2010-2019	2020-2021	2021
More than 4%	0	0	0	6
4% to 3%	0	1	0	4
3% to 2%	1	3	0	2
2% to 1%	8	4	0	1
1% to 0%	2	2	0	1
0% to -1%	2	3	0	1
-1% to -2%	1	0	0	0
-2% or Below	1	2	15	0
Total	15	15	15	15

*Real gross domestic product estimates are measured in chained (2012) dollars.

Page 4 of 6

Kentucky Real* Gross Domestic Product Growth by Region:
Average Annual Percent Change, 2002-2021

	2002-2021	2010-2019	2020-2021	2021
Area Development Districts	%	%	%	%
Barren River	2.00	2.51	1.74	4.99
Big Sandy	-1.85	-2.93	-2.93	0.52
Bluegrass	1.56	2.13	0.66	4.23
Buffalo Trace	1.53	1.58	2.18	2.71
Cumberland Valley	-0.06	-0.77	0.49	3.98
FIVCO	-0.52	-0.50	-6.94	1.14
Gateway	1.35	1.75	1.03	5.03
Green River	0.86	0.73	-0.79	3.25
KIPDA	1.57	2.03	2.04	5.90
KIPDA (KY Only)	1.58	2.06	2.21	6.17
Kentucky River	-3.63	-5.38	-2.43	-0.27
Lake Cumberland	1.25	1.51	0.93	3.95
Lincoln Trail	1.89	1.47	2.31	5.65
Northern Kentucky	2.70	3.43	3.16	7.26
Pennyrile	1.14	-0.61	0.73	2.91
Purchase	0.73	0.27	1.01	3.86

Cincinnati MSA Counties
Dearborn County, IN	0.52	2.03	2.14	2.76
Franklin County, IN	0.58	1.11	0.84	-0.03
Ohio County, IN	-4.30	-8.03	1.52	1.20
Brown County, OH	1.00	-0.16	1.16	6.21
Butler County, OH	2.63	3.92	-0.17	4.29
Clermont County, OH	2.00	2.89	1.00	3.50
Hamilton County, OH	1.01	1.79	1.79	6.01
Warren County, OH	3.99	4.21	2.94	9.15
Boone County, KY	3.24	4.89	2.73	8.20
Bracken County, KY	1.38	2.15	3.50	6.58
Campbell County, KY	1.73	2.45	4.39	7.77
Gallatin County, KY	2.88	5.55	0.69	3.78
Grant County, KY	1.16	0.97	3.39	9.73
Kenton County, KY	2.58	1.87	4.80	6.31
Pendleton County, KY	-0.97	0.45	-1.09	-1.33

Metropolitan Statistical Areas
Bowling Green	2.30	2.48	2.22	5.76
Cincinnati	1.71	2.52	1.85	6.02
Clarksville	2.29	0.67	2.67	5.16
Elizabethtown	1.59	0.70	1.97	4.86
Huntington-Ashland	0.80	0.71	-2.29	3.05
Lexington-Fayette	1.84	2.46	0.53	4.16
Louisville/Jefferson County	1.53	2.04	2.02	5.91
Owensboro	1.22	1.01	0.06	3.42

Kentucky	1.35	1.48	1.32	5.00
Metropolitan	1.71	1.99	1.75	5.60
Nonmetropolitan	0.55	0.33	0.23	3.49

United States	1.99	2.25	1.59	5.95
Metropolitan U.S.	1.97	2.24	1.71	6.24
Nonmetropolitan U.S.	1.34	1.49	0.09	2.89

*Real gross domestic product growth estimates are measured in chained (2012) dollars.

Source: Calculations by the Kentucky Regional Economic Analysis Project (KY-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

November 2023

REAP_PI_CA1400_DECADES_2002B

Page 5 of 6

A Special Thanks to Our Hosts & Sponsors:

Page 6 of 6

Outline of Report

Download, Print, or Share